Morris Mead posted an update 1 month, 1 week ago
Blackjack is more than just a playing game of guessing, which is contrary to what many gamblers think. The majority of casino games are guessing games. With any blackjack hand, there is a correct strategy as well as an ineffective strategy. The basic strategy is the best strategy. The correct strategy is the mathematically optimal strategy-that is, it will maximize your wins and minimize your losses over time.
You may have noticed that a lot of other well-known card games do not have any fundamental strategy. For instance, there is no standard strategy in poker. Poker players play their hands by determining whether they think his opponent holds an advantage or weak hand.
There is no basic strategy for any card game as long as the opponent is able to make decisions, regardless of whether the decisions are good or bad regarding how to play his hand. There was no blackjack strategy for many years. Blackjack wasn’t a casino game in which the dealer was legally required to show just one card and play the game according to house rules. It was more of a poker game, which had both the dealer’s and the player’s cards kept secret. The dealer was able to play any way he wanted, while players could try to fool him.
When the American casinos altered the rules of twenty-one, allowing one of the dealer’s cards and demand that the dealer follow a strict hit/stand strategy, an important thing was happening. The game went from a game of poker that relied more on psychological factors to one that was strictly mathematical.
Why Basic Strategy Works … The “Odds” The Basic Strategy is Effective
In our case, we’re going to start by assuming that the present dealers are playing an honest game. No sleight-of-hand, no chicanery. Although we will not ignore the First Rule of Professional Gamblers we’ll temporarily forget it in order to understand the logic behind each game and reveal the fundamental strategy that eliminates the majority of the house’s mathematical edge. The majority of games played in casinos are fair and trustworthy. If technology are faced with an unfavorable game, it’s not on your level, you won’t even try to beat it.
Mathematicians utilized high-speed computers to analyze every hand and every dealer upcard in order to find the most effective fundamental strategy for playing the dealt game. The fact that the fundamental strategy was almost perfect had stunned mathematicians who were the first to use computers to analyze computer data. This was because of four GIs who had desk jobs in the 1950s and a lot of time. They had no computers however they’d worked for three years working with old-fashioned mechanical adding machines to run through the various possible outcomes of the hands dealt. It could have been the most valuable value Uncle Sam ever obtained from the four GIs’ pay!
It is also known that fairly accurate equivalences of the basic strategy had been figured out by a variety of professional gamblers in the Nevada decades before computers appeared into the picture. They came up with the method by playing hands with each other on their tables in the kitchen. Tens of thousands, thousand, and even hundreds of thousands of hands were needed to make certain decisions. Like most professional gamblers, these gamblers never released their strategies. Blackjack was their primary source of income and they’d spent hours studying it. They would not divulge to anyone the details of what they had learned.
One thing that is certain is that casinos were not aware of the correct strategy to play the game, and neither did the players who had read the most highly-regarded books on the topic. A lot of Hoyle’s old guidelines advised players to bet on totals of 15 or 16 regardless of the dealer’s card was or the dealer’s upcard. They also advised players to split tens, never split nines, and to stand on soft 17. single player games of the time, meaning those who had read one of these gambling books by an authority of this kind were the ones who typically devised all kinds of games that we recognize as extremely costly.
A lot of people aren’t aware of the logic behind basic strategy. Let me provide an example. Blackjack strategy tells me to hit when my hand totals 14 when the dealer hands me a 10 upcard. This is the mathematically correct strategy. Sometimes, you’ll hit that 14 and draw an 8, 9, or 10 and bust. Then you will see that the dealer turned over his hole card, which is a 6. games people play means that, to hold your 14 the dealer must have reached his total of 16. He could have flopped with the 10. Therefore, by playing the “mathematically correct” play, you lost the hand you could have won if you had violated basic strategy.
Certain players will assert that there really isn’t a fundamental strategy that is correct. Blackjack is, as they say is a guessing game.
The basic strategy of understanding requires that you think like a professional gambler. That means that you have to be able to grasp the idea of “the Blackjack odds”.
Let me take another example to demonstrate the mathematics behind probability and statistics, the logic behind basic strategies. Let’s suppose I have a jar that has one hundred marbles in it. The marbles are black and fifty of them are white. With your eyes closed, reach inside and pick one marble. However, before you start, place a bet of $1 on the marble you choose will be white or black. If you pull out the color you picked then you win $1; if not then you’ll lose $1.
Is this a guessing game?
Absolutely. It’s impossible to determine which marble color you’ll choose ahead of time. It’s luck when you win. If you lose, it is poor luck.
But what if you found out that 90% of the marbles are black and only ten marbles are white? Would you rather bet on white or black before you draw? Anyone who is smart would bet on the black. While it is possible to pull out white marbles, you are much more likely to get a black marble. It could be a guessing game, and you could still lose $1 should you happen to pull out the white marble, however If you wager on black, odds are favorable.
A professional gambler earns his living by considering “the odds”, and only betting when the odds are in his favor. With this bet, the gambler would bet on black as odds are 9:1 in his favor. If you bet on white, odds are 9-1 against you.
In other words, if you return to the total of 14 you had when the dealer showed a 10 upcard, you could lose when you take a chance, but the chances are not in your favor if remain.
There are chances to win some hands by using your intuitions but you’ll also lose at the final. Math is the only method to make an informed decision on any game. The decision to hit or stand or double down or even split the pair depends on what the laws of probability indicate your expectations to be in each of these scenarios.